Sun. May 10th, 2026
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 Before you get any further, let me provide this bit
of context. Israel is the size of New Jersey. China is the world’s
third largest country with 
almost a sixth of the
world’s population.
 You’re asking for a military
comparison between those two.

 

It will be a tough and anxious fight. I would be surprised if
both sides didn’t lose greatly, but a fight between the United
States military and that of the Chinese is one the Chinese can’t
win, especially considering the fact that any American
offensive will include a Japanese alliance, most
likely bring in the Australians, with the possibility of inclusion
of the South Korean forces, as well. Given this reality, the
Chinese navy would eventually be crushed if they insisted on a
prolonged fight or even one which could only last a couple of
days.

SECOND EDIT: The CIA Factbook estimates a 250x discrepancy
in potential combat forces, with about 3.4 million for available
and 2.9 million fit for Israel to deploy as compared to 840 million
available and 600 million fit for China to deploy.

more www.war.com.ng

With that in mind…

It’s sort of a tricky question to answer, in part because
of the general lack of conventional wars recently. Israel has
permanent, asymmetric warfare being waged against them, with
occasional operations to remove Hamas’s missile platforms. China
has spent a while shaking their military penis at the US and at
their neighbors.

First, some facts:

 

If USA fights China Israel will definitely be involved !

  • Israel inarguably has the strongest military for their size in
    the world. No other country even roughly their size  shows up
    on the who’s who of military powers except England, and they’re
    scaling back their military to cut costs.
  • Israel’s spent the last few decades fighting asymmetric
    warfare.
  • Israel is made of reservists; an overwhelming majority of the
    populace could be called on with days’ notice.
  • Israel has Iron Dome, the only effective missile defense of its
    kind.
  • China has more money and manpower to throw at the problem.

But there are a still lot of unanswered (and unanswerable)
questions:

  • Whose planes are better? Whose tanks are better? Whose missiles
    are better?
  • Is Israel’s technological advantage large enough to overcome
    their lack of manpower?
  • What’s the battleground? Israel has considerably more expertise
    fighting in deserts than almost every other major power, for
    example.
  • How is the fight being carried out? Is it an infantry battle? A
    tank blitz? Dogfighting? Urban warfare? A missile exchange?
  • How are they getting there? Does one side have to haul ass
    before the fight even starts?
  • Who’s pitching in, if anyone? Does Israel also have to fend off
    their neighbors? Is the US pitching in for them?
  • What’s the objective? Are they going to start annihilating each
    others’ populace, or is this purely a professional thing?
  • Imagine if they all got magically transported somewhere. Israel
    would probably win tank and aircraft jousts close to 10 times in
    10. But, Israel’s so wildly outnumbered that such information is
    surprisingly hard to weight.

So my answer would be that unless you artificially constrain
the question, there 
isn’tan
answer. 

Besides, those two countries are very far apart. If China
wanted Israel dead, they’d sell Hezbollah a nuke, instead of
something with a return-to-sender address like a missile or a
plane.

I vote for Israel.
 
China will never be conquered by any large populations (Huns,
Turks and Japanese), but by smaller nations like the Xianbei,
Mongols and Manchu. I believe Isreal is even stronger than the
latter. So with that having been said, Israel would win just as
Mongol and Manchu did. And 100 years later, Jews will become the
57th ethnic group that speak Chinese & eat the famous pork meat of
China.

 
You can conquer Rome, but you can’t refuse having Latin words
come into your language, and their very delicious foods enter
through your stomach. The same is true for China. Therefore, if you
refuse to give up the Hebrew language that you revived through
thick and thin, (which was jealousyly admired by the Manchus),
please don’t let 
Conquering
China
 come into your mind.
 
That’s our lesson from our own history. I shared it with
you.

There are already loads of answers to this
question, some of which are pretty good. However, most of the
answers written before mine are way off base by mentioning the size
of China versus the size of Israel or relative populations. Those
factors happen to be pretty insignificant in this consideration in
the most likely scenario of China trying to invade Israel. As are
cyber warfare considerations, since “war” still means with weapons
in the real world and not “cyberwar.”

The question itself is really too vague because a lot depends on
initial conditions of an such war.

So let’s break this down into a few separate questions:
1. Could China successfully invade Israel?
Almost certainly not. While it is possible in a bizarro alternate
Earth to imagine China trying to invade Israel, how will Chinese
forces get there? The overland route would go through hostile
nations the Chinese would not care to fight on the way and even if
they did, it would take a long time and Israel would have plenty of
time to prepare. China could not effectively move and supply its
entire army–so the army that arrived at Israel would be just a
fraction of its total strength, with supply lines too long and no
natural air bases. Israeli equipment is more modern and their
personnel better trained than China’s–Israel could maul the Chinese
forces that actually arrived at Israel in any such war. Note that
it bears saying that neither of them would want to fight such a
war.

The situation is even worse if China tried to invade Israel by
sea. China’s navy isn’t all that awesome and certainly isn’t ready
to project power thousands of miles from home. The Israeli Air
Force would send the Chinese fleet to the bottom of the Red Sea and
there would be nothing the Chinese could do about it–even if the
Saudi and Egyptian Air Forces flew out to protect the Chinese
ships, they STILL would almost certainly get wiped out before
delivering their troops.

2. Could Israel successfully invade China?
No way. In this case, the size and population of China really DO
matter. Though first off the Israelis would have the problem of
projecting power that far (and why would they even want to?). But
if they managed to say, refuel their air force enough to make
strikes against a Chinese city, they’d probably be a lot more
successful than the Chinese would be the other way around. But so
what? China really IS huge relative to Israel and there is no way
for Israel to defeat them in battle by invading them. There just
aren’t enough Israelis to pull it off. (And again, why would they
even want to?)

3. Could China and Israel engage in a nuclear war and if so, who
would win?

Short answer: nobody knows. This is
actually a realistic possibility as far as China definitely has
missiles which can reach Israel and Israel’s Jericho 3 missile
supposedly can reach China. But as far as I know, the number of
missiles and nuclear warheads Israel has is secret. And does Israel
have a ballistic missile defense system? They have a defense
against tactical missiles, perhaps the best in the world. So they
might have a defense against incoming Chinese missiles. That along
with excellent Israeli intelligence means it might at least be
possible that Israel would know the Chinese are going to launch
missiles in advance and take the missile sites out before they
do–while simultaneously protecting themselves from any Chinese
missiles that might be inbound. NOTE that the total number of
Chinese nuclear warheads are thought to be in the hundreds, not in
the thousands like the USA and Russia. It’s actually possible
Israel as many nukes as China has, though perhaps not likely.

Though having said that, in general a large country can absorb
nuclear hits with at least some of its population surviving. Israel
is so small only a few nuclear strikes would totally devastate the
whole country. In general you’d have to say China would have a big
advantage over Israel in a nuclear war. But we just don’t know how
it would turn out, because we don’t know enough about Israeli
nuclear weapons and ballistic missile defense capacities.

So would you go to war against Israel if you were China? No way.
And I don’t see it happening the other way around, either.

Manpower

image image
Active personnel: 1 281 900 2 300 000
Reserve personnel: 811 000 8 000 000
Available for military: 73 270 043 385 821 101

 Military expenditures

image image
Military budget: 610 billion $ 228 billion $
Percent of GDP: 3,1% 1,9%
Country: USA China
Capital: Washington Beijing
Population: 324 527 000 1 373 541 278
Area: 9 857 306 km2 9 596 961 km2
Nuclear weapons: 7 200 warheads 260 warheads

Land Forces

 

 

 

No  easier than the Chinese could win
in the United States.

A better scenario would be to challenge
the Chinese military directly rather than attacking their
government. A worse option would be to blockade the nation until
economic and social pressures force a surrender. Both options
leverage the United States’ naval superiority. Assuming war is the
name of the game, our Navy is still overwhelmingly more powerful
than theirs, which it should be said before anything else,
guarantees the rest of this answer never happens.

The Sino-American War

image

To begin, we need to say one thing very
clearly; the Chinese have absolutely no chance of beating the
Americans in a full out war similar to the re-envisioned World War
II conflict, with hordes of Chinese troops landing in Oregon to
conquer all the way to the Continental Divide. For reasons that
will be clear later, China simply does not have the capabilities,
either in manpower, diplomatic leverage, nor in naval power to
defeat the Americans in a total war scenario. While, yes, the
Chinese could deal a devastating blow to the United States at sea,
and could push back any attempts at American invasion to the
Chinese mainland, they do not have any capability whatsoever to
achieve strategic gains through an actual conquest of American
soil. Once they reach the overlapping shells of American missile
defense and aerial bombings, any force they attempt to send would
be sent to the bottom of the sea. In truth, the United States
wouldn’t prosper much better in an overland invasion, but as I will
show, this isn’t as meaningful to the Americans as it would be to
the Chinese. The only hope of China would be to gain effect through
military victories and in gaining permanent control of territory
currently under the United States’ umbrella of protection. This,
however, wouldn’t grant China the ability to cut off supply lines
to the United States and could not enact the type of crippling
economic pressure that they are susceptible to, a fact I will also
show later.

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